ElonMuskSucks.net

Terms of Prediction

Resolve Yes if the U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration posts a recall on nhtsa.gov or in the NHTSA recall database that explicitly cites Full Self-Driving or related driver assistance behavior and lists at least 2,500,000 affected Tesla vehicles in total. If multiple smaller FSD-related recalls cumulatively exceed 2.5 million within the window, resolve Yes. If no such recall, resolve No.

Prediction Options

Terms of Prediction

Resolve Yes only if primary-source evidence is released that he physically visited Little St. James, such as official flight manifests, court-filed documents, or House Oversight releases naming him as a passenger on a flight that landed there, or dated photos placing him on the island. Articles must cite those primary records. If evidence remains unverified or is disputed without primary documents, resolve No.

Prediction Options

Terms of Prediction

Use the Bloomberg Billionaires Index snapshot on Dec 31, 2025. If Elon Musk’s net worth is listed higher than Larry Ellison’s at that snapshot, resolve Yes. Otherwise No. If the index is unavailable, use the day’s end-of-year recap from a major outlet that cites Bloomberg’s list.

Prediction Options